More than five million people have lost access to food assistance from the Supplemental Nutrition Assistance Program, or SNAP, since President Trump’s One Big Beautiful Bill passed last year, PBS reports. The effects are starting to be seen in the grocery industry.
Back in May, industry analysts predicted this wouldn’t just hurt families, overwhelm food pantries, and strain food budgets to the breaking point — it could decimate local economies.
That’s because grocery stores rely on the dollars consumers spend through programs like SNAP and the Women, Infants and Children program (WIC) program, which is also being cut.
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In 2023 alone, SNAP accounted for $124 billion in food sales, according to James Ziliak, director of the Center for Poverty at the University of Kentucky. The loss of that could be devastating, or even fatal, for small supermarkets and community grocery stores.
The nonprofit Commonwealth Fund predicted that SNAP cuts could result in the direct loss of 78,000 food-related jobs in agriculture, retail grocery and food processing.
Now there are signs that this prediction could be coming true.
Here’s what’s at stake and what to do if you’re affected.
Kroger faces staggering $12-billion loss to competitors
On Oct. 13, Cincinnati-based grocery store chain Kroger announced plans to lay off 3,000 corporate employees over three years.
The company has 409,000 employees and operates more than 2,700 stores under the Kroger brand as well as Ralphs, King Soopers, Smith’s, and Fred Meyer.
CEO Greg Foran suggested the workers’ jobs would be at least partially automated with AI tools that can “reduce duplicative work and look closely at where work is best fit to be done.”
According to ABC News, Kroger has floundered under pressure from competitors in the discount space, including Aldi, Lidl and even Amazon, and it took a major blow after a proposed merger with Albertsons fell apart in 2024.
But a September earnings call revealed deeper issues at the company — and they all stem from the severe strain that poor and working-class families are under.
Despite running numerous discounts and promotions, Kroger has lost more than $12 billion in spending on consumer packaged goods to Amazon, Walmart, and Costco over the past year, according to Numerator.
Numerator found that lower-income Kroger shoppers reduced their spending on packaged goods by 5.2% over the past year and made 30 million fewer trips.
The shifts in spending paint a picture of higher food prices and slashed discretionary spending: While spending on basics like canned goods and drinks is up by $800 million at Kroger, spending on health and beauty products is down $178 million.
“Reductions in SNAP benefits, higher fuel prices, and softer consumer confidence are all putting pressure on household budgets. Customers are buying more on need,” Foran told investors.
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President Trump’s SNAP cuts
President Trump’s One, Big, Beautiful Bill shifted administrative costs for SNAP — shared equally between the federal and state governments till now — onto the states, leaving them responsible for 75% of the cost.
The Urban Institute projected that 22.3 million of the 42 million families who rely on SNAP will lose some or all of their benefits as a result.
Grocers that support SNAP recipients — many in rural areas, according to Politico — will have to consider layoffs, raising prices or alternatives like e-commerce to contend with the impacts.
IGA’s John Ross, CEO of the independent grocery store chain, told CNN that the cuts will result in store closures and “more food deserts in urban and rural areas.”
“A key advantage of SNAP is that money is spent locally,” Ziliak said.
Alabama grocer Jimmy Wright said the SNAP program allows his customers to buy fresh fruits, vegetables and milk through United States Department of Agriculture (USDA) programs such as SNAP and the Women, Infants and Children program (WIC), which in turn support local farmers.
In fact, the USDA estimates that every $5 the federal government spends on SNAP generates $9 in return in jobs. The SNAP cuts could change that equation.
What you can do if your local grocer closes
Cuts to the SNAP program may see recipients traveling long distances to grocery shop in the future.
The Center for American Progress reports that most SNAP beneficiaries already have limited access to grocers that accept SNAP benefits.
Those who lose their local grocery story can find other places where SNAP cards are accepted by visiting the retailer locator map on the USDA website.
The National Council on Aging notes that you can use SNAP benefits with delivery services like Instacart. Amazon accepts SNAP for some products, and big-box stores like Walmart and Target also participate in the program.
If you live in an area of the country with plentiful farmers markets, you can also use your SNAP benefits at participating markets.
Local SNAP Education offices nationwide can connect you with other programs and services in your area.
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Rebecca Holland is dedicated to creating clear, accessible advice for readers navigating the complexities of money management, investing and financial planning. Her work has been featured in respected publications including the Financial Post, The Globe & Mail, and the Edmonton Journal.
